Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Hertl 54.5% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Stastny
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
54.1% (1,117)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
59.8% (296)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
34.4% (32)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Stastny
Hertl
Home
58.3% (276)
54.3% (709)
Away
56.7% (210)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Stastny
Hertl
P1
63.7%
51.6%
P2
57.3%
53.6%
P3
50.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%