Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Boyd 44.1% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 96.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 87.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 95.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Stastny
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Stastny
Boyd
Last 10: Stastny 8-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
2
Stastny
Boyd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
2
Stastny
Boyd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
44.4% (2,186)
+10.2%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
46.5% (256)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
35.6% (208)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Stastny
Boyd
Home
55.9% (7,073)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Stastny
Boyd
P1
56.3%
41.7%
P2
55.4%
46.2%
P3
53.5%
44.0%
OT
62.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |