Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Boyd 45.8% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 90.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 73.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 90.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Stastny
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Stastny
Boyd
Last 10: Stastny 8-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
2
Stastny
Boyd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
45.9% (784)
+13.3%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
43.2% (81)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
40.3% (62)
+11.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Stastny
Boyd
Home
57.7% (215)
45.1% (501)
Away
55.6% (257)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Stastny
Boyd
P1
57.7%
45.9%
P2
54.2%
44.6%
P3
57.7%
45.8%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |