Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Boyd 43.9% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.4%
Defensive zone
Boyd 52.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Stastny
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stastny
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
43.4% (893)
+14.1%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
51.5% (136)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
34.6% (127)
+9.8%
On even strength, Stastny has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Stastny
Boyd
Home
58.3% (276)
46.0% (570)
Away
56.7% (210)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Stastny
Boyd
P1
63.7%
38.9%
P2
57.3%
50.4%
P3
50.4%
41.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |