Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.4% vs Boyd 45.7% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Stastny
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stastny
Boyd
Last 5: Stastny 3-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (859)
45.4% (108)
+8.2%
Power Play
59.9% (202)
0.0% (5)
+59.9%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (78)
20.0% (5)
+35.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +59.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Stastny shoots left. Boyd is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Stastny
Boyd
Home
56.9% (596)
58.3% (24)
Away
52.5% (543)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Stastny
Boyd
P1
53.9%
38.5%
P2
56.2%
46.4%
P3
54.4%
43.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
29.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |