Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 36-18 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 89.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Stastny
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
18
(54 meetings)
36
18
Stastny
Johnson
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
8
Stastny
Johnson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
14
5
Stastny
Johnson
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
12
5
Stastny
Johnson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
54.6% (885)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
42.3% (707)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johnson
Home
55.9% (7,073)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Stastny
Johnson
P1
56.3%
50.1%
P2
55.4%
50.6%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
OT
62.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |