Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Johnson 50.7% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Stastny
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
47.4% (78)
+10.1%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
57.6% (33)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
100.0% (2)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johnson
Home
58.3% (276)
50.9% (57)
Away
56.7% (210)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Stastny
Johnson
P1
63.7%
44.1%
P2
57.3%
59.4%
P3
50.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%