Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Johnson 53.6% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 58.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stastny
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
61.9% (42)
-2.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
55.6% (9)
-14.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johnson
Home
57.7% (215)
52.0% (25)
Away
55.6% (257)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Stastny
Johnson
P1
57.7%
72.0%
P2
54.2%
66.7%
P3
57.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%