Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.6% vs Johnson 50.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Stastny
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stastny
Johnson
Last 7: Stastny 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
2
Stastny
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,130)
51.8% (548)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.1% (235)
51.7% (58)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (150)
40.7% (113)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Stastny shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johnson
Home
55.5% (803)
53.6% (371)
Away
54.2% (712)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Stastny
Johnson
P1
57.4%
50.9%
P2
52.5%
50.2%
P3
54.3%
48.9%
OT
69.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |