Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Trocheck 55.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 56.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 55.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Stastny
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stastny
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Stastny
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
55.0% (956)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
59.8% (266)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
56.3% (64)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Stastny
Trocheck
Home
58.3% (276)
57.7% (673)
Away
56.7% (210)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Stastny
Trocheck
P1
63.7%
55.4%
P2
57.3%
55.6%
P3
50.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |