Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 45.3% vs Hintz 57.8% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 84.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 87.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 88.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 87.0%
13.0%
87.0%
Buchnevich
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Buchnevich
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (78)
58.9% (514)
-17.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.6% (158)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
66.7% (27)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hintz is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hintz
Home
40.0% (60)
59.8% (326)
Away
40.6% (32)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hintz
P1
38.1%
57.9%
P2
30.8%
59.8%
P3
54.5%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |