Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Buchnevich wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Hintz 55.3% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 61.5%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 64.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 68.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Buchnevich
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Buchnevich
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Buchnevich
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
56.3% (512)
-18.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
63.3% (30)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
45.8% (24)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hintz
Home
43.0% (114)
57.3% (262)
Away
30.4% (92)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hintz
P1
40.0%
54.8%
P2
35.7%
56.0%
P3
35.7%
57.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |