Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 34.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Wright 50.3% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Wright 56.3%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 60.5%
Neutral zone
Wright 51.9%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Buchnevich
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
52.6% (76)
-15.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Buchnevich is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Buchnevich shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Wright
Home
43.0% (114)
58.5% (41)
Away
30.4% (92)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Buchnevich
Wright
P1
40.0%
50.0%
P2
35.7%
46.2%
P3
35.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%