Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Trenin 46.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 69.4%
Defensive zone
Trenin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.5%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Buchnevich
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Buchnevich
Trenin
Last 5: Buchnevich 2-3 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Buchnevich
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Buchnevich
Trenin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
46.5% (144)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
41.9% (74)
-41.9%
On penalty kill, Trenin has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Buchnevich shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Trenin
Home
43.0% (114)
45.7% (129)
Away
30.4% (92)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Buchnevich
Trenin
P1
40.0%
47.5%
P2
35.7%
52.6%
P3
35.7%
32.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |