Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 32.5% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.2% vs Trenin 48.0% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 58.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 51.3%
Neutral zone
Trenin 50.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Buchnevich
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (211)
48.8% (41)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
16.7% (6)
+11.9%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Buchnevich shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Trenin
Home
35.6% (87)
53.8% (26)
Away
38.3% (141)
31.8% (22)
By Period
Buchnevich
Trenin
P1
36.3%
42.3%
P2
37.6%
50.0%
P3
38.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
43.8%