Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Zacha
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
9
0
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
3
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
48.8% (4,953)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
55.8% (788)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
42.0% (547)
+3.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Home
49.7% (2,194)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
P1
49.8%
49.9%
P2
50.5%
49.1%
P3
47.2%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 2, 2019 | OT | 01:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |