Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.5% vs Zacha 51.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 68.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 51.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 62.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Rossi
Zacha
Last 6: Rossi 0-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rossi
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Rossi
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
53.7% (497)
-1.4%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
54.8% (84)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
37.5% (64)
-2.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
46.5% (157)
51.0% (335)
Away
51.9% (185)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
56.0%
60.0%
P2
48.2%
48.1%
P3
43.6%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |