Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.5% vs Zacha 51.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 72.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Backstrom
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Backstrom
Zacha
Last 10: Backstrom 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
2
Backstrom
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
8
4
Backstrom
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (635)
53.3% (411)
-4.6%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
51.8% (114)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
42.0% (81)
+8.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Backstrom shoots left. Zacha is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Zacha
Home
48.0% (348)
52.2% (295)
Away
48.6% (383)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Backstrom
Zacha
P1
49.6%
50.5%
P2
48.2%
51.3%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |