Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Dubois 47.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 60.2%
Defensive zone
Dubois 63.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 63.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zacha
Dubois
Last 6: Zacha 1-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Zacha
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Zacha
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
46.1% (1,050)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
58.0% (81)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
48.9% (223)
47.0% (581)
Away
51.9% (154)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
47.9%
46.9%
P2
48.3%
50.1%
P3
54.3%
43.9%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |