Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Dubois 49.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 62.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 56.6%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Dubois
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
4
Zacha
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
46.2% (225)
+7.1%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
66.7% (27)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
75.0% (8)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
51.7% (410)
46.6% (163)
Away
52.2% (408)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
57.7%
45.0%
P2
48.9%
52.3%
P3
50.2%
50.5%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |