Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 64.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Zacha
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Hartman
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Zacha
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
45.1% (874)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
47.4% (95)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
37.5% (16)
+1.7%
On even strength, Zacha has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hartman
Home
51.6% (438)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.4% (445)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Zacha
Hartman
P1
57.0%
47.3%
P2
48.9%
40.1%
P3
50.5%
48.3%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |