Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Hartman 45.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Zacha
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Zacha
Hartman
Last 9: Zacha 3-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Zacha
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
Zacha
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
45.2% (4,279)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
47.3% (446)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
42.4% (262)
-0.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hartman
Home
49.7% (3,381)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Zacha
Hartman
P1
49.9%
46.1%
P2
49.2%
42.9%
P3
48.2%
46.7%
OT
53.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |