Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Johansen 52.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
49.4% (1,010)
-1.4%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
62.3% (236)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
67.2% (67)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
48.9% (223)
54.7% (655)
Away
51.9% (154)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
47.9%
52.2%
P2
48.3%
50.7%
P3
54.3%
54.8%
OT
44.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |