Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Johansen 58.2% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Zacha
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
59.8% (625)
-14.5%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
58.2% (196)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
51.9% (27)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
39.7% (131)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.7% (165)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
42.9%
61.3%
P2
46.4%
60.4%
P3
42.3%
56.0%
OT
87.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |