Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 93.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 90.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Zacha
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Zacha
Reinhart
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
1
Zacha
Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
4
Zacha
Reinhart
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
44.6% (345)
+9.3%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
43.3% (97)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
43.2% (88)
+1.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Zacha
Reinhart
Home
56.7% (538)
47.9% (267)
Away
52.8% (530)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Zacha
Reinhart
P1
52.6%
45.6%
P2
54.8%
42.0%
P3
56.8%
45.4%
OT
59.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 00:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |