Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 90.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 74.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Zacha
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Zacha
Reinhart
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
2
Zacha
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Zacha
Reinhart
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
44.1% (324)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
40.3% (72)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
33.9% (118)
+10.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Zacha
Reinhart
Home
53.4% (406)
40.5% (232)
Away
52.9% (333)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Zacha
Reinhart
P1
56.8%
46.4%
P2
53.6%
32.6%
P3
49.2%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |