Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 96.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 74.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Zacha
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Zacha
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Zacha
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Zacha
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
49.2% (901)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
68.2% (22)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
49.8% (219)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Zacha
Kuraly
Home
39.7% (131)
51.7% (603)
Away
49.7% (165)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Zacha
Kuraly
P1
42.9%
50.9%
P2
46.4%
49.5%
P3
42.3%
49.1%
OT
87.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |