Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Zacha
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zacha
Kuraly
Last 6: Zacha 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Zacha
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
49.4% (445)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
100.0% (3)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
41.9% (117)
+2.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Zacha
Kuraly
Home
56.7% (538)
49.2% (248)
Away
52.8% (530)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Zacha
Kuraly
P1
52.6%
48.3%
P2
54.8%
44.7%
P3
56.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |