Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 79.8%
Defensive zone
Wright 50.6%
Neutral zone
Wright 66.9%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Zacha
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Wright
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
39.5% (453)
+13.8%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
42.4% (59)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
0.0% (1)
+38.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Zacha
Wright
Home
51.7% (410)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.2% (408)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Zacha
Wright
P1
57.7%
39.9%
P2
48.9%
37.1%
P3
50.2%
42.9%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |