Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Crosby 55.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 84.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 66.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zacha
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Zacha
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Zacha
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
53.7% (984)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
64.7% (241)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
64.3% (14)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
51.7% (410)
56.9% (649)
Away
52.2% (408)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
57.7%
55.8%
P2
48.9%
53.2%
P3
50.2%
58.7%
OT
35.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |