Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 55-44 in 99 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 73.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 83.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 72.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
55
(99 meetings)
44
55
Zacha
Crosby
Last 10: Zacha 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
26
Zacha
Crosby
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
15
13
Zacha
Crosby
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
12
16
Zacha
Crosby
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
52.8% (17,990)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
47.1% (765)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
49.7% (3,353)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
49.9%
53.6%
P2
49.2%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
53.3%
OT
53.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |