Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Lewis 44.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 61.7%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lewis 51.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Zacha
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zacha
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Zacha
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
41.8% (251)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
45.5% (11)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
44.7% (47)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lewis
Home
39.7% (131)
39.2% (166)
Away
49.7% (165)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Zacha
Lewis
P1
42.9%
45.2%
P2
46.4%
43.8%
P3
42.3%
37.8%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |