Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Lewis 44.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 94.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 72.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 83.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Zacha
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Zacha
Lewis
Last 5: Zacha 5-0 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
0
Zacha
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
45.7% (210)
+8.2%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
71.4% (7)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
33.7% (95)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lewis
Home
56.7% (538)
48.8% (166)
Away
52.8% (530)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Zacha
Lewis
P1
52.6%
37.9%
P2
54.8%
46.7%
P3
56.8%
42.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |