Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Bozak 46.2% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Zacha
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
46.7% (338)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
50.0% (6)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
32.6% (43)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Zacha
Bozak
Home
48.9% (223)
47.9% (194)
Away
51.9% (154)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Zacha
Bozak
P1
47.9%
40.2%
P2
48.3%
51.4%
P3
54.3%
43.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%