Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 60.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 60.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Zacha
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Zacha
Bozak
Last 10: Zacha 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
10
Zacha
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
2
Zacha
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
4
Zacha
Bozak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Zacha
Bozak
Home
49.7% (3,353)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Zacha
Bozak
P1
49.9%
53.2%
P2
49.2%
52.8%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
OT
53.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |