Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Zacha wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 42.0% vs Johnson 51.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 63.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Zacha
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zacha
Johnson
Last 7: Zacha 2-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
5
Zacha
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (399)
51.2% (825)
-10.3%
Power Play
39.5% (43)
56.9% (160)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
51.1% (137)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zacha is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Zacha shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnson
Home
41.4% (261)
56.9% (583)
Away
38.8% (196)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Zacha
Johnson
P1
38.6%
55.1%
P2
44.4%
53.0%
P3
36.9%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |