Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 60.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Zacha
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
47.4% (78)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
57.6% (33)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
100.0% (2)
-77.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnson
Home
39.7% (131)
50.9% (57)
Away
49.7% (165)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Zacha
Johnson
P1
42.9%
44.1%
P2
46.4%
59.4%
P3
42.3%
52.3%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%