Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Johnson 45.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 66.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Zacha
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
44.6% (285)
+9.3%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
46.7% (60)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
16.7% (6)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnson
Home
56.7% (538)
50.8% (179)
Away
52.8% (530)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Zacha
Johnson
P1
52.6%
41.3%
P2
54.8%
41.8%
P3
56.8%
49.6%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |