Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 69.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Zacha
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Zacha
Seguin
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Zacha
Seguin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
9
Zacha
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zacha
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
55.9% (810)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
49.3% (762)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Zacha
Seguin
Home
49.7% (3,353)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Zacha
Seguin
P1
49.9%
52.8%
P2
49.2%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.7%
OT
53.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |