Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Zacha
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zacha
Seguin
Last 7: Zacha 4-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Zacha
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
56.5% (712)
-8.5%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
59.7% (67)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
44.9% (49)
+5.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Zacha
Seguin
Home
48.9% (223)
58.5% (402)
Away
51.9% (154)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Zacha
Seguin
P1
47.9%
58.4%
P2
48.3%
54.7%
P3
54.3%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
72.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |