Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Krebs 49.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 69.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 50.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 63.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Rodrigues
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Krebs
Last 6: Rodrigues 1-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Rodrigues
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Rodrigues
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
49.5% (560)
-3.9%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
52.6% (38)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.3% (67)
+6.7%
On power play, Krebs has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Krebs
Home
46.5% (142)
49.4% (314)
Away
43.6% (140)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Rodrigues
Krebs
P1
42.9%
47.0%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |