Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krebs wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Steel 48.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 62.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 79.2%
Neutral zone
Krebs 68.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Krebs
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Krebs
Steel
Last 10: Krebs 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Krebs
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Krebs
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Krebs
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (501)
49.5% (553)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
61.3% (31)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (35)
30.6% (49)
+6.5%
On power play, Steel has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Krebs shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Krebs
Steel
Home
43.9% (285)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.5% (271)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Krebs
Steel
P1
45.4%
52.1%
P2
50.9%
49.8%
P3
39.7%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |