Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krebs wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 72.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 72.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 71.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Krebs
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Krebs
Steel
Last 10: Krebs 3-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Krebs
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Krebs
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Krebs
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,159)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
62.6% (179)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
37.4% (254)
+1.2%
On power play, Steel has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Krebs shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Krebs
Steel
Home
45.7% (1,182)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Krebs
Steel
P1
45.9%
51.9%
P2
46.4%
49.5%
P3
44.8%
49.6%
OT
57.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |