Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Krebs wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 73.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 62.8%
Neutral zone
Krebs 59.2%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Krebs
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Krebs
Kuraly
Last 10: Krebs 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Krebs
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
1
Krebs
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (501)
49.2% (901)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
68.2% (22)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (35)
49.8% (219)
-12.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Krebs shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Krebs
Kuraly
Home
43.9% (285)
51.7% (603)
Away
46.5% (271)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Krebs
Kuraly
P1
45.4%
50.9%
P2
50.9%
49.5%
P3
39.7%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |