Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Krebs
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Krebs
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Krebs
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
51.8% (444)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
45.3% (150)
-0.3%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Krebs shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Krebs
Kuraly
Home
46.8% (188)
54.6% (304)
Away
42.4% (224)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Krebs
Kuraly
P1
47.2%
55.2%
P2
44.9%
45.7%
P3
41.1%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |