Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 46.8% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 69.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 59.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Krebs
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Krebs
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (542)
48.9% (135)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (48)
50.0% (4)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Krebs shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Krebs
Lorentz
Home
45.5% (312)
50.7% (75)
Away
47.0% (302)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Krebs
Lorentz
P1
46.6%
60.0%
P2
42.7%
46.3%
P3
48.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |