Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Krebs 56.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 53.2%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 54.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Krebs
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
52.2% (67)
-7.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.9% (21)
+2.1%
On power play, Lorentz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Krebs shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Krebs
Lorentz
Home
46.8% (188)
55.4% (65)
Away
42.4% (224)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Krebs
Lorentz
P1
47.2%
59.3%
P2
44.9%
47.1%
P3
41.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%