Philipp Kurashev vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 44.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 59.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 58.0%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kurashev 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (924)
44.9% (8,756)
-0.3%
Power Play
43.6% (156)
50.7% (839)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
37.9% (879)
+4.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kurashev is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Kurashev shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.5% (521)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.2% (597)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
45.1%
P2
44.4%
43.9%
P3
42.9%
45.3%
OT
38.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |