Philipp Kurashev vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 45.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 58.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 54.4%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kurashev 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (904)
44.9% (8,714)
-0.4%
Power Play
45.0% (151)
50.3% (829)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
37.8% (875)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kurashev is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Kurashev shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.2% (511)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
43.9% (581)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.9%
45.1%
P2
44.3%
43.8%
P3
43.6%
45.2%
OT
38.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |