Philipp Kurashev vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 47.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 70.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.7%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 58.3%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kurashev 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (203)
51.0% (408)
-4.7%
Power Play
49.1% (57)
0.0% (6)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
35.9% (78)
-0.2%
On power play, Kurashev has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Kurashev shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.0% (140)
50.8% (258)
Away
47.8% (134)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.9%
51.6%
P2
44.3%
45.2%
P3
43.6%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |